The plot of the number of convective bursts as a function of radius normalized by rmw at 2 km for a high k m and b low k m forecasts during the period between 48 and 53 h of forecast time.
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The azimuthally averaged diabatic heating averaged during this period as a function of radius normalized by rmw at 2 km for c high k m and d low k m.
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We define t 76 h as the time of sef.
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Structural evolution of the simulated tc shown below indicates that the sudden changes in tc intensity and rmw are associated with sef and the eyewall replacement process.
The rmw gradually decreases jumps outward at t 76 h and then decreases again.